Punjab/Chandigarh: Despite the start of October, heat and humidity continue to trouble people across Punjab. According to the latest update issued by the weather department, a major change in the state's weather will be seen in the coming days. The weather will remain mostly dry and clear on October 5, while light rain may begin in a few limited areas starting October 6. Following this, between October 7 and 9, many parts of Punjab are very likely to witness thunderstorms, lightning, and strong winds blowing at speeds of 30 to 40 kmph. Weather experts note that wind gusts could reach up to 50 kmph in some areas.

Mercury crosses 38.3 degrees in Bathinda: Over the past few days, day and night temperatures in Punjab have been recorded well above normal. On October 4, Bathinda district recorded a maximum temperature of 38.3 degrees Celsius, well above normal levels. Similarly, minimum temperatures in several other cities across the state remained higher than usual, causing humid and uncomfortable conditions even at night. With rain and strong winds expected from October 7, daytime temperatures are likely to drop by two to four degrees, bringing relief to the public.

Matter of concern for farmers and mandis: During the first and second weeks of October, paddy harvesting picks up pace across Punjab, and farmers begin arriving at mandis with their produce. Strong winds and rain between October 7 and 9 could pose a risk of flattening standing mature crops in the fields. Additionally, there is a risk of grain soaking in mandis under the open sky. Agricultural experts have advised farmers to schedule harvesting keeping the weather forecast in mind and ensure proper arrangements with tarpaulins to cover their produce in grain markets.

Future impact of El Nino on Punjab and India: According to global climate models, active El Nino conditions in the period ahead raise concerns of a serious impact on India's overall monsoon cycle. Rising sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean weaken southwest monsoon winds. This can lead to a 20 to 30 percent rainfall deficit in central and southern Indian states, triggering drought-like conditions.

In the case of Punjab, El Nino tends to create a dual crisis of water and electricity rather than direct famine. When monsoon rainfall drops, tubewells must run continuously for paddy irrigation. This depletes groundwater levels further and places heavy pressure on PSPCL's power supply network. In addition, warmer winter temperatures create the risk of shriveled grain and reduced yields for the main rabi crop, wheat. Meteorologists believe that in this period of changing climate patterns, it is essential for farmers to adopt water-saving methods and shift toward alternative crops.